EUR Breaks Support, Boris Johnson Wins Tory Contest, CAD Extends Bearish Turn - US Market Open

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – EUR/USD Breaks Support, UK General Election Risk Rises, CAD Extends Bearish Reversal

市场发展 - 欧元兑美元突破支撑，英国大选风险上升，加元延续看跌逆转

DailyFX 2019 FX Trading Forecasts

DailyFX 2019外汇交易预测

GBP: As widely expected, Boris Johnson won the leadership contest with a margin of 66%. Given that this had been priced in, GBPUSD saw a rather muted reaction to the announcement. Focus now turn towards his Cabinet picks, most notably the next Chancellor. In regard to the outlook for Brexit, the appointment has not changed an awful lot, given the lack of consensus over Brexit within parliament and with resignations from the Tory party continuing, the risk of a general election is on the rise. Amid the political uncertainty, the outlook for GBP remains fragile. Near-term support in GBPUSD is situated at 1.24.

GBP：普遍预期，鲍里斯·约翰逊以66％的优势赢得了领导力竞赛。鉴于这已被定价，英镑兑美元对该公告的反应相当平静。焦点现在转向他的内阁选秀权，最着名的是下一任总理。关于英国退欧的前景，由于议会内部对英国脱欧缺乏共识，并且保守党继续辞职，大选的风险正在上升，因此任命并未发生太大变化。在政治不确定性的背景下，英镑前景仍然脆弱。英镑兑美元的近期支撑位于1.24。

EUR: The Euro edged towards 2-month lows following the break below the 1.12 handle. However, further downside could be curbed on the basis that expectations for an ECB depo rate cut at this weeks meeting has eased slightly (now 60/40 from 50/50). That said, gains remain limited with the central bank likely to lay the foundations for a fresh stimulus package at the September meeting.

欧元：欧元兑美元小幅走低至2个月低位1.12手柄。然而，在本周会议上对欧洲央行降息降息的预期略有缓解（现在从50/50的60/40），可能会进一步抑制下行空间。也就是说，收益仍然有限，央行可能会在9月会议上为新的刺激计划奠定基础。

CAD: The Canadian Dollar has extended its bearish reversal with USDCAD hitting the top of its recent consolidation range. Clean break of 1.3160 leaves room for a test of 1.32. Wider yield spreads between the US and Canada has been among the factors behind the bid in USDCAD with US/CA 10yr bond spreads widening to -60bps from July lows of -48bps.

加元：加元兑美元延续了看跌逆转达到近期整合范围的顶部。干净的1.3160休息时间为1.32的测试空间。美国和加拿大之间较高的收益差价一直是美元兑加元投标的因素之一，美国/加拿大10年期债券利差从7月低点-48个基点扩大至-60个基点。

Source: DailyFX, Thomson Reuters

来源：DailyFX，汤森路透

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