Dow Jones, FTSE 100, DAX 30 and ASX 200 Fundamental Forecast

Dow Jones, FTSE 100, DAX 30, and ASX 200 Fundamental Forecast:

道琼斯，富时100指数，DAX 30指数和ASX 200基本预测：

• The Dow Jones - with dark clouds overhead - looks to dodge disappointing data in the upcoming week for trend continuation purposes

  道琼斯指数（道琼斯指数）在未来一周躲避令人失望的数据以寻求趋势延续目的

• FTSE 100 traders will once again await Brexit clarity following Fridays vote

  富时100指数交易商将再次等待英国脱欧在星期五的投票之后

• The ASX 200 awaits a rate decision from the RBA, a dovish RBNZ last week may be a sign of whats to come

  澳大利亚证券交易所200等待来自澳联储的利率决定，上周一个鸽派的新西兰联储可能是即将到来的迹象

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Looking for a technical perspective on the Equities？ Check out the Weekly Equities Technical Forecast.

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Dow Jones Fundamental Forecast: Neutral

道琼斯基本面预测：中性

The Dow Jones will face a laundry list of important economic data in the week ahead. Recent economic data has been rather underwhelming, and another week of disappointment could see the index pressured after a stellar first quarter. Manufacturing and employment data will be released throughout the week all leading up to Friday‘s non-farm payroll report. Last month’s data was particularly underwhelming and spurred a minor selloff in the Average. Another lackluster report this Friday could see deeper losses as employment trends lower.

道琼斯将在未来一周面临重要经济数据的清单。最近的经济数据相当平淡，另一周的失望可能会导致该指数在第一季度表现出色之后受压。制造业和就业数据将在本周发布，所有这些都将导致周五的非农就业报告。上个月的数据特别令人沮丧，刺激了平均值的小幅抛售。由于就业趋势走低，本周五另一份低迷报告可能会出现更深层次的损失。

Learn the differences between the Dow Jones and S&P 500 and how they might contribute to different outlooks.

了解道琼斯指数与标准普尔500指数之间的差异以及它们对不同展望的贡献。

Dow Jones Price Chart: 4-Hour Time Frame (August 2018 to March 2019) (Chart 1)

道琼斯价格走势图：4小时时间框架（2018年8月）到2019年3月）（图1）

How to day-trade the Dow Jones

如何交易道琼斯

FTSE 100 Fundamental Forecast: Bullish

FTSE 100 Fundamental预测：看涨

After British MPs rejected Theresa Mays Brexit withdrawal agreement for a third time on Friday, the uncertainty for the FTSE 100 will continue. Given the adverse reaction to the news in the British Pound, the FTSE 100 enjoyed a notable close higher as exports became more attractive to other nations. Barring an exit from the EU without a deal, GBP weakness may continue to buoy the FTSE in the week ahead.

英国之后Ps周五第三次拒绝了Theresa Mays Brexit退出协议，FTSE 100的不确定性将继续。鉴于对英镑新闻的不利反应，富时100指数显着接近走高，因为出口对其他国家更具吸引力。如果没有达成协议退出欧盟，英镑疲软可能会在未来一周继续推动富时指数。

Brexit Timeline

英国脱欧时间表

A no-deal exit is highly unlikely to occur next week as the EU waits for its April 10summit to convene and the date for a “hard Brexit” is April 12th. With limited economic data due next week, the FTSE 100 will likely take its cues from other European indices while it awaits Brexit developments.

由于欧盟等待其4月10日召开的会议以及“硬脱欧”的日期是4月12日，下周极不可能出现无交易退出。由于下周将公布有限的经济数据，富时100可能会在其等待英国脱欧的发展过程中从其他欧洲指数中获取线索。

FTSE 100 Price Chart: 4 – Hour Time Frame (June 2018 – March 2019) (Chart 2)

FTSE 100价格走势图：4小时时间框架（ 2018年6月 - 2019年3月）（图2）

DAX 30 Fundamental Forecast: Bearish

DAX 30基本预测：看跌

Economic data out of Germany is similarly light. Therefore, the index will look to trade war developments, global growth concerns and regional factors to influence price action. Disappointing data out of the United States could spread concern to the DAX as investors try to ascertain the exact level of growth in the worlds largest economy. Given the severe lack of catalysts for the DAX, check out a technical forecast for the index for deeper insight.

经济数据输出德国同样轻盈。因此，该指数将关注贸易战争的发展，全球增长的担忧以及影响价格行为的区域因素。由于投资者试图确定世界最大经济体的确切增长水平，美国令人失望的数据可能引发对DAX的担忧。鉴于DAX严重缺乏催化剂，请查看该指数的技术预测，以获得更深入的洞察力。

DAX 30 Price Chart: 4 – Hour Time Frame (December 2018 – March 2019) (Chart 3)

DAX 30价格走势图：4 - 小时时间框架（2018年12月 - 3月） 2019）（图3）

DAX day-trading strategies

DAX日内交易策略

ASX 200 Fundamental Forecast: Bullish

ASX 200基本预测：看涨

If last weeks Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting was any indication of monetary policy leanings in the region, the ASX may be primed to climb this week following a rate announcement from the Reserve Bank of Australia. A seemingly dovish tone from the RBNZ battered the New Zealand Dollar and bolstered local equities.

如果上周新西兰储备银行会议对该地区的货币政策倾向有任何迹象，那么澳大利亚证券交易所可能会表现出色在澳大利亚储备银行公布利率后，本周将攀升。新西兰央行看似温和的语气打击了新西兰元并加强了当地股市。

With that in mind, a similar policy outlook for the RBA could beget similar price action for the Australian Dollar and the ASX 200. Given the lack of other data out of the country in the week ahead, Tuesdays RBA decision will likely be the primary catalyst for the index.

考虑到这一点，澳大利亚央行的类似政策前景可能会让澳大利亚人采取类似的价格行动。美元和澳大利亚证券交易所200指数。鉴于未来一周该国缺乏其他数据，周二澳洲联储的决定将可能成为该指数的主要催化剂。

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ASX 200 Price Chart: 4 – Hour Time Frame (October 2018 – March 2019) (Chart 4)

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--Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for DailyFX.com

- 由DailyFX.com的初级分析师Peter Hanks撰写

DailyFX forecasts on a variety of currencies such as the Pound or the Euro are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you‘re looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you’re looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

DailyFX交易指南页面提供了各种货币（如英镑或欧元）的DailyFX预测。如果您希望改善您的交易方法，请查看成功交易者的特征。如果您正在寻找外汇市场的入门介绍，请查看我们的新外汇指南。

Other Weekly Fundamental Forecast:

其他每周基本预测：

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Crude Oil Forecast – Crude Oil May be Overextended, But Watch Out For Trade Headlines

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British Pound Forecast – GBP/USD Rate Threatens Bull Trend Ahead of Brexit Deadline

英镑预测 - 英镑兑美元汇率在英国退欧截止日期前威胁牛市走势

US Dollar Forecast – US Dollar May Rise as Sentiment Succumbs to Potent Headwinds

美元预测 - 美元可能上涨，因市场信心受到强势逆风的影响

Gold Forecast – Gold Price Outlook Bearish as USD May Rise on Soft Econ Data, RBA

黄金预测 - 黄金价格前景看跌，因美元可能上涨软经济数据，RBA