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US CPI fell back below 3% after three years; gold surged and then fell!
The annual rate of the overall CPI in the United States in July was 2.9%, the first time it has returned to the "2-digit" since March 2021, slightly lower than the expected 3%; the monthly rate rebounded from -0.1% to 0.2% as expected. At the same time, the year-on-year growth rate of the core CPI in July fell to 3.2%, and the month-on-month growth rate rebounded from 0.1% to 0.2% as expected. After the data was released, traders lowered their expectations of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed
【MACRO Insight】US June CPI Data Announcement - Triggering Fed Rate Cut Expectations and Yen Volatility
Portfolio Manager Leah Traub said that if the US and Japanese policies do not change, the yen is unlikely to continue to strengthen. Currently, the yield difference between 10-year US and Japanese government bonds is still far above the average level of the past decade. Although the Bank of Japan has raised the short-term policy rate, the market sentiment towards the yen is still low, and the bearish yen positions are dominant. Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission shows that specul
【MACRO Insight】The Crossroads of the American Economy——Inflation, Employment, and the Fed’s Policy Choices
The dynamics of the U.S. economy and labor market, as well as changes in inflation expectations, have profound implications for Federal Reserve policy decisions. Market participants are closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases and statements from Fed officials to capture signals of policy direction. Against this backdrop, investors need to prepare for potential market fluctuations and closely watch the Fed's next steps. Meanwhile, trends in housing prices, changes in core CPI, and the
【MACRO Insight】Facing the dual risks of 'CPI + Fed,' is the market ready?
Ahead of Wednesday's dual risks event of 'CPI + Fed,' traders are reducing their bets on a rise in U.S. Treasuries. Market data indicates the Fed may maintain high rates for a longer period, contrary to the previous expectation of an easing cycle. Since the release of non-farm payroll data last Friday, open interest in 10-year Treasury futures has decreased by about 80,000 contracts, reflecting traders unwinding bullish bets.
Week Ahead Spotlight: CPIs, Retail Sales, RBNZ Rates!
In March, Canada's consumer price index increased by 0.6% compared to the previous month, surpassing the 0.3% growth seen earlier. In April, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opted to maintain its official cash rate at 5.5 percent for the sixth consecutive meeting, emphasizing the ongoing need to address inflation fully. In March, the UK Consumer Price Index registered a slower-than-anticipated increase, reaching 3.2% in annual terms, down from the 3.4% rise observed in February. In March, UK...
Japan’s Long-term Treasury Yield Surge
In the most recent trading session, asset classes remained largely unchanged as markets awaited key U.S. inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is set for release today, followed by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tomorrow.
GEMFOREX - weekly analysis
Top 5 things to watch in markets in the week ahead
GEMFOREX - weekly analysis
Top 5 things to watch in markets in the week ahead
GEMFOREX - weekly analysis
The week ahead: 5 things to watch.
GEMFOREX - weekly analysis
The week ahead: 5 things to watch.
Stocks End Lower as Consumer Prices Jump to Highest Level in 30 Years
Stocks end lower for the second straight day as the Consumer Price Index surges to its highest level since 1990.
US Core CPI Experienced Historical Decline in April
US overnight core CPI in April experienced the sharpest month-on-month decline in history, falling 0.8% after seasonal adjustment to a record low since November, 2008, while core CPI shrank 0.4% annually.
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