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アジア開銀：19年のアジア新興国成長率予想を5.7％に下方修正
概要：アジア開発銀行（ＡＤＢ）は最新の「アジア経済見通し」で、2019年のアジア新興国・地域の成長率予想を5.7％とし、従来の5.8％から引き下げた。
アジア開発銀行（ＡＤＢ）は最新の「アジア経済見通し」で、2019年のアジア新興国・地域の成長率予想を5.7％とし、従来の5.8％から引き下げた。
中国の成長率予想は19年が6.3％、20年が6.1％
インフレ率予想は19年が1.9％、20年が1.8％
インドは19年が7.2％成長、20年が7.3％成長
インフレ率は19年が4.3％、20年が4.6％
韓国は19年が2.5％成長、20年が2.5％成長
インフレ率は19年が1.4％、20年が1.4％
| Year | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecast | Forecast | Actual | Forecast | Forecast | Actual | |
| GDP | Inflation | |||||
| Developing Asia | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Central Asia | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Armenia | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Azerbaijan | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Georgia | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Kazakhstan | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Tajikistan | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Turkmenistan | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% |
| Uzbekistan | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| East Asia | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% |
| Hong Kong | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| Mongolia | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| China | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% |
| South Korea | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Taiwan | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| South Asia | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Afghanistan | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Bangladesh | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% |
| Bhutan | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| India | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Maldives | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | -0.1% |
| Nepal | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Pakistan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Sri Lanka | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Southeast Asia | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Brunei | 1.5% | 1.0% | -1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cambodia | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Indonesia | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Laos | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| Malaysia | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Myanmar | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Philippines | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% |
| Singapore | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Thailand | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Vietnam | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| The Pacific | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
| Cook Islands | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Federated States of Micronesia | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Fiji | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% |
| Kiribati | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Marshall Islands | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Nauru | 0.1% | -1.0% | -2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% |
| Palau | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Papua New Guinea | 3.1% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% |
| Samoa | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% |
| Solomon Islands | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
| Timor-Leste | 5.4% | 4.8% | -0.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Tonga | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Tuvalu | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Vanuatu | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2019
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